The video discusses the likelihood of a white Christmas in the United States, using science and meteorology to make predictions. According to the National Weather Service, a white Christmas is defined as at least one inch of snow on the ground on December 25th. The video analyzes historical data and current weather patterns, including a triple dip La Nina, to make predictions for 2022.
The video presents a map showing the average likelihood of a white Christmas in different regions of the US, with areas like Buffalo, New York, having a high chance due to lake-effect snow. The video also discusses the impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on winter weather and the possibility of a big storm before Christmas.
The meteorologist predicts that some areas, such as the South, have a lower chance of a white Christmas, while others, like the Northeast, have a higher chance. The video includes a final map showing the predicted likelihood of a white Christmas in different regions, with some areas having a 10% greater or lesser chance than their historical average.
The video concludes with a call to action, inviting viewers to like and subscribe to the channel, and to share their own experiences with white Christmases.
Here are the key facts extracted from the text:
1. According to the National Weather Service, a white Christmas is when there is at least one inch of snow on the ground on December 25th.
2. Snow doesn't have to fall from the sky on Christmas for it to be a white Christmas.
3. Places like Buffalo, New York, will almost certainly see a white Christmas this year due to the historic lake effect snow event in November.
4. Orchard Park, just south of downtown Buffalo, measured 81.2 inches of snow in November.
5. The majority of the snow in Buffalo will likely still be on the ground during Christmas.
6. A white Christmas can occur when a snowstorm happens just before or during the holiday.
7. A map shows the average likelihood of having a white Christmas across the US.
8. The 10 Zone in the South has a low probability of a white Christmas, especially the farther south you go.
9. Areas like New York City, Cincinnati, and St. Louis have a 20% chance of a white Christmas.
10. Places like Chicago and Boston have a 30-50% chance of a white Christmas.
11. The Rocky Mountains have a high chance of a white Christmas due to elevation.
12. Minnesota has a 60-70% chance of a white Christmas.
13. A triple-dip La Nina is a rare weather pattern that can affect Christmas weather.
14. In 2020, a La Nina pattern helped produce a Christmas snowstorm that dropped significant snow in Tennessee, Kentucky, West Virginia, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
15. The North Atlantic Oscillation can indicate winter weather patterns.
16. A negative North Atlantic Oscillation can force storms down over the lower 48, leading to an increased presence of cold air in the East.
17. A long-range forecast model shows a big transition happening as we head into the middle of December, bringing much colder air across the eastern US.
18. Raycon is offering a countdown to Christmas with a new pop-up flash deal every day.
19. Using the code "holiday" on the Raycon website gives 15% off site-wide.
20. The speaker predicts a big storm will happen before Christmas, but it's too soon to tell exactly where and how impactful it will be.
21. A period of quiet and milder weather will fill in after the first storm, likely melting most of the snow.
22. Another storm will come into the picture, causing snow farther north as cold air tries to break back into the lower 48.
23. The speaker's final map shows their prediction for who will have a white Christmas this year.
24. The map shows a yellow zone in the South where there is a 5% lesser chance of a white Christmas, and a dark orange area where there is a 10% lesser chance.
25. The Blue zone on the map shows a 5% greater chance of a white Christmas, and the darker blue shows a 10% greater chance.
26. Areas in the 90 historical zone essentially have a 100% chance of seeing snow on the ground on Christmas.
27. The speaker invites viewers to like the video and return after Christmas to see if their prediction was correct.