Why Democracy Is Mathematically Impossible - Summary

Summary

The video discusses the mathematical problems inherent in democratic voting systems. It starts by highlighting the issues with the "first past the post" system, used in many countries, where the candidate with the most votes wins, even if they don't have a majority. This can lead to a situation where a candidate who is not the preferred choice of the majority of voters wins the election.

The video then explores alternative voting systems, such as instant runoff voting and the Condorcet method, which aim to ensure that the winner is the most preferred candidate. However, these systems also have their own set of problems, including the possibility of a "Condorcet paradox," where the winner is not the most preferred candidate.

The video then delves into the work of mathematicians who have studied voting systems, including Kenneth Arrow, who proved that there is no perfect voting system that can satisfy all the desirable conditions of a democratic election. Arrow's Impossibility Theorem shows that any voting system that tries to aggregate individual preferences into a collective decision will always have some flaws.

Despite this, the video concludes that democracy is not doomed and that there are alternative voting systems, such as approval voting, that can be used to elect leaders. Approval voting allows voters to approve of multiple candidates, rather than just one, and has been shown to increase voter turnout and reduce negative campaigning.

The video ends by encouraging viewers to take an active interest in the world around them, to care about issues, and to be politically engaged. It also promotes the idea of expanding one's knowledge and critical thinking skills through online resources, such as Brilliant, which offers interactive lessons and exercises on various subjects, including math, science, and programming.

Facts

Here are the key facts extracted from the text:

1. "First past the post" voting is a simple method where voters mark one candidate as their favorite on a ballot, and the candidate with the most votes wins the election.
2. This method has been used to elect members of the House of Commons in England since the 14th century and is still used in 44 countries, including the US.
3. 30 of the countries that use first past the post voting were former British colonies.
4. First past the post voting has problems, such as the possibility of a party winning a majority of seats without receiving the majority of votes.
5. In the last 100 years, there have been 21 times when a single party held a majority of seats in the British Parliament, but only two of those times did the majority of voters actually vote for that party.
6. The 2000 US presidential election was an example of the "spoiler effect" where a third candidate, Ralph Nader, took votes away from Al Gore, ultimately leading to George W. Bush's victory.
7. Instant runoff voting is a system where voters rank their preferences, and if no candidate receives a majority of votes, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated, and their ballots are redistributed to the remaining candidates.
8. Instant runoff voting is also known as preferential voting or ranked-choice voting.
9. The Borda count is a voting method where voters rank candidates, and points are assigned based on the ranking, but it has a problem where the number of points given to each candidate is dependent on the total number of candidates.
10. Condorcet's method is a voting system where the winner must beat every other candidate in a head-to-head election, but it has a problem known as Condorcet's paradox, where a candidate can be preferred by a majority of voters but still lose the election.
11. Arrow's Impossibility Theorem states that there is no ranked-choice method to rationally aggregate voter preferences with three or more candidates.
12. The theorem assumes five conditions: unanimity, non-dictatorship, unrestricted domain, transitivity, and independence of irrelevant alternatives.
13. Duncan Black's theorem states that if voters and candidates are naturally spread along a single dimension, the preference of the median voter will reflect the majority decision.
14. Rated-voting systems, such as approval voting, can avoid the paradoxes and inconsistencies highlighted by Arrow's Impossibility Theorem.
15. Approval voting is a system where voters tick the candidates they approve of, and the candidate with the highest approval wins.
16. Research has found that approval voting increases voter turnout, decreases negative campaigning, and prevents the spoiler effect.
17. Kenneth Arrow initially was skeptical of rated-voting systems but later agreed that they were likely the best method.
18. Approval voting has been used in the past, such as in the election of the Pope between 1294 and 1621 and in the election of the Secretary General of the United Nations.