Why The U.S. Won’t Pay Down Its Debt - Summary

Summary

As of early September 2023, the U.S. national debt stood at nearly $33 trillion. This debt is divided into intra-governmental debt holdings (about $7 trillion) and debt held by the public (approximately $25.7 trillion). The national debt is essentially a record of the government's financial activity, tracking how much money it has added to the economy versus how much it has subtracted through taxation.

There's no absolute need for the debt to be zero; debt serves various purposes, including handling emergencies. However, an ever-expanding national debt can potentially harm the economy, depending on the balance between economic growth and interest rates. The U.S. has the resources to reduce the debt, but it requires political action.

Debt-to-GDP ratio is crucial, and the U.S. is approaching 100%, which affects the ability to service the debt as interest rates rise. Japan's experience shows that high debt levels don't always lead to the predicted economic crises.

The debt ceiling, a self-imposed constraint, can lead to financial uncertainty and even a downgrade in the U.S. credit rating if not resolved. A significant portion of U.S. debt is held by foreign countries, making the U.S. vulnerable to foreign investors' decisions.

Despite concerns, the U.S. national debt is unlikely to be paid off soon, as political dynamics make it challenging to implement deficit-cutting measures and tax increases.

Facts

Sure, here are the key facts extracted from the provided text:

1. The U.S national debt was nearly 33 trillion dollars as of early September 2023.
2. Approximately 7 trillion dollars of the debt was intra-governmental debt holdings, meaning the government owed itself that money.
3. The majority of the debt, about 25.7 trillion dollars, was held by the public.
4. The national debt is essentially an accounting record tracking how many dollars the government has added to the economy minus how many it has subtracted through taxation.
5. Debt has useful purposes, especially for emergencies, but can be harmful if not managed properly.
6. The U.S. economy has the resources to pay down the debt over time with political action.
7. The debt-to-GDP ratio is a critical indicator of whether the debt can be serviced; it was nearly 100 percent.
8. Rising interest rates can increase the cost of servicing the debt.
9. In 2022, the federal government paid 475 billion dollars in interest on the national debt, nearly 2 percent of GDP.
10. Japan's example shows that high levels of public debt can coexist with low interest rates and stable economic conditions.
11. The U.S. debt ceiling is a self-imposed constraint on government spending.
12. Fitch lowered the U.S. credit rating due to rising debt-to-GDP ratios, lack of a plan, and governance issues.
13. Foreign countries holding U.S. debt could cause a crisis if they lose confidence in its safety.
14. The U.S. national debt is not expected to be paid off soon, and there is a debate about the urgency of addressing it.