The Atlantic tropical activity bulletin discusses the current and forecasted weather conditions in various tropical regions.
In the Atlantic, the bulletin mentions Hurricane Philippe, which is an active tropical storm. The remnants of Aila and an extratropical version of Nigel are still active, particularly towards the northeast. The bulletin also notes areas of interest in the Western Caribbean and the Eastern Pacific.
In the Western Pacific, there are three active systems. The most immediate one, off the coast of Vietnam, has a 7% chance of developing into a storm. A second system, which could form in five to six days, has a 30% chance. A third area of interest is near the Mariana Islands, but its development is less certain.
The North Indian Ocean is relatively calm, with no significant systems expected. In the South Pacific, the next storm in line is Lola.
The bulletin also discusses the potential for significant rainfall events due to the two systems moving into Vietnam and the potential typhoon. However, these are worst-case scenarios and the actual amounts could be lower.
In the Atlantic, there's a forecast for a potent hurricane to form in days 10 to 16, potentially causing a powerful landfall in Atlantic Canada. Another system is moving in behind this as a hurricane, potentially affecting the southeastern U.S.
In the Western Pacific, there's a potential late system developing into a typhoon, and another one forming in the South China Sea.
The bulletin ends with a reminder of the next storm names in the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, Central Pacific, North Indian Ocean, and the South Pacific.
1. The text discusses the latest Atlantic tropical activity, with a focus on Philippe, an active tropical storm.
2. The presenter has been away due to commitments to the Eastern tour and is now back to provide the latest tropical weather bulletins.
3. This year, 60 storms have been coded yellow, specifically for the Western Pacific region.
4. In the Atlantic, it is day 117 of the hurricane season.
5. The remnants of Ailia and an extratropical version of Nigel are still active, particularly in the Northeast.
6. Two areas of interest are being monitored in the Western Caribbean, with a 10% chance of system development.
7. In the Eastern Pacific, tropical depression 14e is on day 133 of hurricane season.
8. The Western Pacific currently has three active systems, with a 7% chance of the most immediate system forming off the coast of Vietnam.
9. The North Indian Ocean is not showing much activity.
10. The presenter provides detailed information about the location and movement of tropical storm Philippe.
11. The storm is expected to reach Hurricane status at its peak, and there is a concern about wind shear affecting its strength.
12. In the Western Pacific, there's an invest with a high chance of development, particularly over Vietnam.
13. The radar imagery shows the influence of the system on the Western and South Southwestern side.
14. The presenter discusses another area of interest, just off the northern part of the Mariana Islands.
15. The presenter provides a detailed breakdown of sea surface temperatures along the coast of Pacific Mexico, the Atlantic, and the Southwest Indian Ocean.
16. The presenter discusses the potential for a significant double rainfall event in the Western Pacific, potentially causing excess of 20 inches of rainfall in some coastal areas and up to 600mm inland.
17. The presenter discusses potential hurricanes in the Atlantic, including a potent hurricane that could cause a powerful landfall in Atlantic Canada.
18. The presenter discusses the potential for hurricanes in the US east coast and Southeast.
19. The presenter discusses the potential for two more typhoons in the Western Pacific.
20. The presenter provides a historical context for the current tropical activity, mentioning significant storms that occurred 5 years ago.