The provided text appears to be a transcript of a conversation between two individuals discussing the electability trends of presidential candidates in Indonesia, particularly Anies Baswedan, Prabowo Subianto, and Ganjar Pranowo. The conversation also touches on the impact of vice presidential candidates on electability and the strategies of political coalitions. Anis Baswedan's electability has seen a significant increase, especially in East Java, following his declaration as a presidential candidate. The discussion highlights the importance of vice presidential candidates in influencing electability and the anticipation of other coalitions announcing their vice presidential candidates.
1. The Indonesian survey institute Research has released a survey on the electability of the 3 presidential candidates.
2. The survey was conducted from 11 to 18 September, approximately 1 to 2 weeks after Anies Baswedan and Muhaimin Iskandar declared themselves as a pair to compete in the 2024 presidential election.
3. The survey involved around 1200 respondents with a margin of approximately 2.8% and the confidence level is 95%.
4. The Indonesian Survey Institute is a member of the Indonesian public opinion or perception survey association since 2018.
5. The survey shows that Anies Baswedan's electability has increased, with a rise from 22% in August to 25.2% in September.
6. Ganjar Pranowo's percentage for August was 34.3%, while in September it rose very slightly to 34.4%.
7. Prabowo Subianto's percentage in August was 38.3%, while in September it fell to 34.8%.
8. The increase in Anies Baswedan's electability is attributed to the effect of the declaration of Amin on September 2 and the effect of increasing votes in Java, especially Central Java and East Java.
9. Ganjar Pranowo's decline in votes is due to the difficulty in determining the vice presidential candidate.
10. Prabowo Subianto's decline in votes is attributed to the changing coalitions and the shift in voters' perceptions of the candidates.
11. The party machine will work hard to determine the name of the vice presidential candidate as soon as possible.
12. The PKS spokesperson said that the 3% achieved by the Indonesian Coalition will be one of the triggers for the Coalition for Change to continue moving.
13. The DKI regional election in 2017 showed that Anies, who was always at the bottom during the survey, turned out to be the winner.
14. The results of the DKI regional election show that three pairs are almost the same, which suggests that the election results can be compared between DKI and the 2024 presidential election.
15. The chairman of the DPP Nasdem Party, Nasdem Party, Effendi choiri or Gus Cuy, joined via Zoom.
16. The survey institute is grateful for the work done with the parties and is optimistic about the forces that have not been captured by the third survey institute.
17. Anies Baswedan's survey is still in third place after Prabowo and Ganjar, but there is hope that the strengths of Anies Baswedan can be maximized to increase his electability.
18. The Nasdem Party PKB PKS machine will work hard and mobilize all the instruments and resources they have.
19. Ganjar Pranowo's political base is in West Java, which has been controlled by Prabowo Subianto.
20. The coalition of change will take Central Java and West Java when Ganjar Pranowo announces his vice presidential candidate.
21. The potential is that when they socialize to the people, they will realize that the candidate for this coalition movement for change, his name is Anies Baswedan, turns out to be an extraordinary figure.
22. The potential is that when they socialize to the people, they will realize that the candidate for this coalition movement for change, his name is Anies Baswedan, turns out to be an extraordinary figure.
23. The potential is that when they socialize to the people, they will realize that the candidate for this coalition movement for change, his name is Anies Baswedan, turns out to be an extraordinary figure.
24. The potential is that when they socialize to the people, they will realize that the candidate for this coalition movement for change, his name is Anies Baswedan, turns out to be an extraordinary figure.
25. The potential is that when they socialize to the people, they will realize that the candidate for this coalition movement for change, his name is Anies Baswedan, turns out to be an extraordinary figure.