In this video, the speaker provides an update on the weather situation, particularly focusing on a developing hurricane known as "Lee." The speaker mentions that he is currently at the New Bern hospital in North Carolina, where his father is not doing well, and the family has gathered there. The speaker credits his father for sparking his interest in weather and science.
The speaker discusses the El Niño phenomenon and its impact on the Atlantic. He notes that while there is an El Niño present, it is not as robust as initially expected. The speaker also talks about sea surface temperatures and mentions that the Atlantic is still warm, contributing to the hurricane season.
The speaker then delves into the potential development of Hurricane Lee, indicating that it is forecasted to become a powerful hurricane in the Southwest Atlantic. He emphasizes the uncertainty in predicting its path and the importance of focusing on the potential impacts rather than the specific category or landfall location.
The speaker points out that the storm could generate swells that impact the islands, the Bahamas, and the East Coast of North America. He also discusses the atmospheric patterns and anomalies that can influence Lee's track, highlighting the need to monitor the situation closely for potential impacts beyond just the hurricane itself.
Here are the key facts extracted from the text:
1. The date is September 5th.
2. The speaker is currently at the New Bern hospital in North Carolina.
3. The speaker's father is at the hospital and not doing well.
4. The speaker credits their interest in weather to their father.
5. Hurricane season is ongoing.
6. A powerful hurricane is expected to develop in the Southwest Atlantic.
7. The hurricane is forecast to become a major hurricane with winds up to 140 miles per hour.
8. The El Nino is not expected to have a significant impact on the hurricane.
9. The Southern Oscillation Index is in El Nino territory, but not as strong as expected.
10. The 90-day average of the Southern Oscillation Index is at minus 5, which is not strong enough to indicate a robust El Nino.
11. The hurricane's track is uncertain, but it is expected to have significant impacts, including large swells.
12. The swells are expected to affect the islands, including the Bahamas, and the East Coast of North America.
13. The hurricane's intensity is expected to be similar to or stronger than Hurricane Franklin.
14. Surfers are expected to enjoy the swells, but swimmers should be cautious due to rough surf conditions.
15. The hurricane's track is influenced by the position of a trough in the atmosphere.
16. The European model forecast shows the hurricane slowing down and potentially being pulled out by a trough.
17. The GFS model forecast shows the hurricane moving northwest and potentially affecting the East Coast.
18. The hurricane's size and influence are expected to be significant, with a category 4 hurricane sitting over the Southwest Atlantic.
19. Tropical Storm Hova is forecast to become a category 3 storm in the Eastern Pacific, potentially affecting Mexico.
20. The speaker is watching the hurricane closely and will provide updates.