Summary:
The speaker discusses various aspects affecting political opinions, including opinion polls, diplomatic activities, and cabinet reshuffles. They highlight a decline in the ruling party's support, emphasizing fatigue and the need for strategic adjustments. The discussion delves into age and regional breakdowns, mentioning specific events that impacted public perception. The speaker explores factors affecting party approval ratings, mentioning ideological divisions and the rise of independents. Additionally, they analyze favorability ratings for key figures, focusing on figures like Mayor Oh Se-hoon and Gyeonggi Governor Kim Dong-hyun. The speaker concludes by emphasizing the importance of understanding the shifting political landscape.
1. The text discusses the evaluation of public opinion polls, emphasizing the importance of understanding the background of the poll rather than just the numbers .
2. Three significant events are mentioned: an opinion poll conducted after the President's trip, a second opinion poll conducted while Representative Lee Jae-myung was on a fast, and a cabinet reshuffle of world ministries .
3. The North Korean summit and the meeting between North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and Russian President Putin are also highlighted .
4. Gallup Korea's approval ratings have been declining continuously from the 4th week of August to the 2nd week of September .
5. The text also mentions a survey showing that denial has reached 60% in Gallup Korea, and the positive rating has fallen by 3 to 4 percentage points in about 2 months .
6. The text highlights that the support base is gradually leaving, with a decline in positive ratings seen in various demographic groups, including the 50s, 60s, and 70s .
7. The text discusses the ideological landscape of the political landscape in South Korea, with a breakdown of 30% progressives, 40% moderates, and 30% conservatives .
8. The text mentions a decrease in approval ratings for both the People Power Party and the Democratic Party of Korea, with the Independent Party's rating at 29% .
9. The text also discusses the potential impact of Representative Lee Jae-myung's fast on the Democratic Party of Korea's approval rating .
10. The text highlights the importance of considering the favorability ratings of major political figures when interpreting public opinion polls .
11. The text mentions a Real Meter survey for the Gangseo-gu Office mayoral by-election, showing Jin Gyo-woon and Kim Tae-ho having equal votes .
12. The text discusses the potential impact of voter turnout among different age groups on the Gangseo-gu mayor's election .